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● how to get rich | ||||||
money guidance and how to get rich_297![]() Navigation: Main page » money guidance and how to get rich Author: money guidance and how to get rich Why do bonds fall in value when interest rates rise? To be precise, the prices of existing bonds will fall when interest ratesrise. The prices of newly issued bonds are fixed. But let's back up a bit. Higher interest rates mean that companies are likely to borrow less, produce less, and thus earn less. (This is because higher interest rates make it more expensive to borrow.) Since stock prices are tied to how much a company can earn, higher interest rates theoretically cause stock prices to fall. This, coupled with rising bond interest rates, makes bonds more attractive to investors. Imagine 5% bonds with 10 years left until maturity that originally sold for $1,000 each. If you buy these bonds now, you'll be getting $50 per year from each of them and then $1,000 at maturity. But, if interest rates have risen since those bonds were issued, and you can buy new 10-year bonds that pay you 10%, that amounts to $100 per year per $1,000 invested. You would obviously be willing to pay more for the 10% bonds than the 5% ones. So, the price of 5% bonds will fall. It will fall to the point where $1,000 invested in the 5% bond will bring you same total yield-to-maturity as $1,000 invested in the new 10% bond. What causes recessions? By one common definition, you have a recession when the nation's economic output (Gross Domestic Product) declines for at least two consecutive quarters. Recessions are often accompanied by rising unemployment and decreasing consumer spending. To answer the question of what causes them, I thought I'd see what an online search engine would offer me when I typed in "cause recession." Here are just some of the many articles and Web pages it returned: • Y2K may cause global recession… • Fed mistake could cause recession… • Increase in oil prices can cause recession… • Stock market fall unlikely to cause recession… • Analysts say stock sell-off may cool the economy and cause recession… • Households saving more will cause recession… • Overspending and high taxes could cause recession… • Asian contagion could cause U.S. recession… • Hard brushing can cause gum recession… Hmm… well, that last item appears to be dental and not economic in nature... but, otherwise, the tidbits above should demonstrate that a wide variety of things are often linked to recessions. Causes might be internal (e.g., interest rate changes) or external (e.g., wars, financial crises elsewhere in the world, etc.). Economists vary on their views of what causes recessions. At any given time, you'll likely find some people who think we're heading toward a recession and some people who think we're moving away from one. |
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